Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001749 0.001849 0.001953 0.002068 0.002193 0.002323 0.002471
2025-05-25 0.001570 0.001710 0.001859 0.002031 0.002226 0.002439 0.002692
2025-06-01 0.001453 0.001617 0.001797 0.002012 0.002263 0.002548 0.002899
2025-06-08 0.001380 0.001563 0.001770 0.002023 0.002326 0.002682 0.003135
2025-06-15 0.001305 0.001500 0.001725 0.002005 0.002350 0.002765 0.003309
2025-06-22 0.001247 0.001451 0.001692 0.001998 0.002382 0.002855 0.003492
2025-06-29 0.001190 0.001401 0.001652 0.001977 0.002394 0.002918 0.003641
2025-07-06 0.001138 0.001352 0.001612 0.001953 0.002398 0.002968 0.003772
2025-07-13 0.001078 0.001292 0.001553 0.001902 0.002362 0.002963 0.003827
2025-07-20 0.001049 0.001269 0.001541 0.001908 0.002401 0.003057 0.004022
2025-07-27 0.001026 0.001251 0.001533 0.001920 0.002448 0.003162 0.004237
2025-08-03 0.001016 0.001250 0.001547 0.001960 0.002534 0.003325 0.004545
2025-08-10 0.000988 0.001226 0.001532 0.001964 0.002573 0.003430 0.004783
2025-08-17 0.000948 0.001186 0.001494 0.001934 0.002563 0.003465 0.004918
2025-08-24 0.000917 0.001155 0.001466 0.001917 0.002571 0.003525 0.005096
2025-08-31 0.000897 0.001138 0.001459 0.001927 0.002618 0.003645 0.005376
2025-09-07 0.000869 0.001110 0.001433 0.001911 0.002625 0.003702 0.005559
2025-09-14 0.000846 0.001088 0.001415 0.001903 0.002644 0.003780 0.005778
2025-09-21 0.000821 0.001062 0.001389 0.001884 0.002644 0.003826 0.005947
2025-09-28 0.000796 0.001035 0.001362 0.001862 0.002636 0.003860 0.006095
2025-10-05 0.000764 0.000998 0.001319 0.001813 0.002587 0.003821 0.006109
2025-10-12 0.000750 0.000986 0.001312 0.001819 0.002623 0.003925 0.006392
2025-10-19 0.000739 0.000977 0.001309 0.001830 0.002668 0.004047 0.006717